Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Artem Alekseychuk and Ramazan Kaan Oktay in the ITF Men Kayseri, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Artem Alekseychuk' if Artem Alekseychuk advances against Ramazan Kaan Oktay. This market will resolve to 'Ramazan Kaan Oktay' if Ramazan Kaan Oktay advances against Artem Alekseychuk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kayseri: Artem Alekseychuk vs Ramazan Kaan Oktay | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Artem Alekseychuk faces Ramazan Kaan Oktay in an ITF Men's event at Kayseri, scheduled for 27 May 2026. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects minimal trading activity and depth in this lower-tier tennis matchup. ITF tournaments attract limited speculative interest compared to ATP or Grand Slam events, resulting in thin liquidity and wide bid-ask spreads that can distort probability signals. The settlement window closes 3 June 2026, allowing a six-day buffer beyond the scheduled match date to accommodate potential delays or rescheduling common at ITF level.
Historical context for ITF men's matches shows completion rates above 95%, with walkovers and cancellations concentrated around weather disruptions or player injury. Comparable ITF Kayseri events from prior years have proceeded as scheduled, though the venue's May climate occasionally presents rain risks. Without recent head-to-head data or current ranking information readily available for these players, traders lack conventional anchors for assessing relative strength. The absence of market activity—reflected in the 0% reading—likely indicates insufficient participant interest rather than genuine consensus that Alekseychuk cannot advance.
Traders should monitor ITF entry lists and player withdrawal announcements through the week preceding 27 May, as late scratches are routine at this level. Weather forecasts for Kayseri in late May become actionable approximately one week prior. Any news of injury, ranking changes, or tournament scheduling adjustments would shift the probability away from its current flat state. The resolution clause allowing 50-50 settlement for matches delayed beyond seven days creates additional uncertainty that may suppress trading conviction.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kayseri: Artem Alekseychuk vs Ramazan Kaan Oktay" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$273 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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