Trade: Tunis: Yi Zhou vs Dali Blanch
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Yi Zhou and Dali Blanch in the Tunis, originally scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yi Zhou' if Yi Zhou advances against Dali Blanch. This market will resolve to 'Dali Blanch' if Dali Blanch advances against Yi Zhou. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $16K
- Total Volume
- $3K
- 24h Volume
- $3K
- Open Interest
- $3K
Market outcomes
| Tunis: Yi Zhou vs Dali Blanch | 23% YES | 78% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Tunis: Yi Zhou vs Dali Blanch Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 67% YES | 33% NO |
| Tunis: Yi Zhou vs Dali Blanch Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Tunis: Yi Zhou vs Dali Blanch Match O/U 22.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Tunis: Yi Zhou vs Dali Blanch Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 22% YES | 78% NO |
| Tunis: Yi Zhou vs Dali Blanch Match O/U 23.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Tunis: Yi Zhou vs Dali Blanch Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 32% YES | 69% NO |
Market context
A tennis match between Yi Zhou and Dali Blanch is scheduled for the Tunis event on 12 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices Yi Zhou's advancement at 24%, implying Blanch as the favoured outcome. This probability reflects real-time trading activity and the aggregated assessment of market participants with capital deployed on both sides.
The 24% probability for Zhou sits below typical benchmarks for unseeded or lower-ranked challengers in ATP or WTA qualifying or main-draw matches at regional tournaments. Historical data on similar matchups suggests markets price established players or those with recent tournament success at 70%+ when facing less-documented opponents. Zhou's current valuation indicates either significant recent form concerns, a substantial ranking disadvantage, or limited match history against comparable competition that would justify backing Blanch at these odds.
Traders should monitor official tournament draws and seeding announcements from the ATP or WTA, scheduled player withdrawals, and any injury reports released closer to the 12 May date. Recent surface-specific performance data—particularly on clay, given Tunis's typical court composition—would inform whether the current pricing reflects accurate form assessment or mispricing. The settlement window extends to 19 May, providing a week-long buffer for match completion or resolution of any delays beyond the original schedule.
Wikipedia Context
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TunisiaTunisia, officially the Republic of Tunisia, is a country in the Maghreb region of North Africa. It is bordered by Algeria to the west and southwest, Libya to the southeast, and the Mediterranean Sea to the north and east. Tunisia also shares maritime borders with Italy through the islands of Sicily and Sardinia to the north and Malta to the east. It feature
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Tunisian revolutionThe Tunisian revolution, also called the Jasmine Revolution and Tunisian Revolution of Dignity, was an intensive 28-day campaign of civil resistance. It included a series of street demonstrations which took place in Tunisia, and led to the ousting of longtime dictator Zine El Abidine Ben Ali in January 2011. It eventually led to a thorough democratization of
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Beylik of TunisThe Beylik of Tunis was a de facto independent state located in present-day Tunisia, formally part of the Ottoman Empire. It was ruled by the Husainid dynasty from 1705 until the establishment of the French protectorate of Tunisia in 1881. The term beylik refers to the monarch, who was called the Bey of Tunis. Under the protectorate, the institution of the B
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Tunisian campaignThe Tunisian campaign was a series of battles that took place in Tunisia during the North African campaign of the Second World War, between Axis and Allied forces from 17 November 1942 to 13 May 1943. The Allies consisted of British Imperial Forces, including a Greek contingent, with American and French corps. Despite initial successes by the German and Ital
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Tunis: Yi Zhou vs Dali Blanch" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$3K in lifetime turnover and $16K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $3K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 19 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Tunis: Yi Zhou vs Dali Blanch"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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