Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Dalibor Svrcina and Tristan Boyer in the Tunis, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dalibor Svrcina' if Dalibor Svrcina advances against Tristan Boyer. This market will resolve to 'Tristan Boyer' if Tristan Boyer advances against Dalibor Svrcina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Tunis: Dalibor Svrcina vs Tristan Boyer | 66% YES | 34% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Tunis: Dalibor Svrcina vs Tristan Boyer Match O/U 21.5 | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Tunis: Dalibor Svrcina vs Tristan Boyer Match O/U 22.5 | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Tunis: Dalibor Svrcina vs Tristan Boyer Match O/U 23.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Tunis: Dalibor Svrcina vs Tristan Boyer Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Tunis: Dalibor Svrcina vs Tristan Boyer Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Tunis: Dalibor Svrcina vs Tristan Boyer Set 1 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Dalibor Svrcina and Tristan Boyer are scheduled to meet in the first round of the Tunis ATP 250 event on 13 May 2026. Svrcina, a Slovak player ranked in the 80s, faces Boyer, a French competitor typically positioned outside the top 100. The match represents a standard lower-seeded ATP encounter where surface preference and recent form carry substantial weight. On Polymarket's order book, the current 66% implied probability for Svrcina reflects moderate confidence in his advancement, suggesting traders perceive a meaningful but not overwhelming advantage.
Historical ATP 250 first-round matchups between players of comparable ranking show win rates clustering around 55–65% for the higher-ranked player, though clay-court specialists and home-nation effects can shift outcomes materially. Boyer's French nationality provides no home advantage in Tunisia, whilst Svrcina's recent results on clay surfaces will be the primary determinant of market pricing. The 34-point gap in the order book between 66% and the alternative outcome indicates genuine uncertainty rather than consensus.
Traders should monitor official ATP draw confirmations and any late withdrawals or injury announcements in the week preceding 13 May. Weather conditions in Tunis—particularly wind and court pace—may favour one player's baseline game over the other. Recent ATP rankings updates and performance in qualifying rounds will provide concrete data points. The settlement window closes 20 May, allowing a seven-day buffer for rescheduling should delays occur.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Tunis: Dalibor Svrcina vs Tristan Boyer" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 20 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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