Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Elijah Sanogo and Michael Mmoh in the Abidjan 2, originally scheduled for April 29, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elijah Sanogo' if Elijah Sanogo advances against Michael Mmoh. This market will resolve to 'Michael Mmoh' if Michael Mmoh advances against Elijah Sanogo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Abidjan 2: Elijah Sanogo vs Michael Mmoh | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Elijah Sanogo and Michael Mmoh are scheduled to compete in the Abidjan 2 tournament on 29 April 2026. The match represents a lower-tier ATP Challenger event, where both players typically compete for ranking points and prize money. Sanogo, a French player, and Mmoh, an American competitor, occupy similar positions in the professional tennis hierarchy, making this a relatively evenly matched fixture on paper. The current order book on Polymarket reflects zero probability for Sanogo's advancement, suggesting either strong market conviction favouring Mmoh or minimal liquidity in the order book at present.
Historical precedent for Challenger-level matches shows that markets often misprice encounters between players with limited recent head-to-head data or sparse recent tournament activity. When trading volume is low on niche tennis markets, the implied probability can become disconnected from true win likelihood, particularly for players outside the top 100 rankings where public information is less comprehensive. The settlement window extends to 6 May 2026, providing a week beyond the scheduled date to accommodate potential delays or rescheduling.
Traders should monitor ATP Challenger circuit announcements regarding draw confirmations and any player withdrawals in the days preceding the match. Recent form, surface preference (clay courts favour certain playing styles), and injury status updates will be critical catalysts. The Abidjan tournament typically occurs on clay, which may advantage players with stronger baseline games. Any late withdrawal by either player would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, fundamentally altering the market's outcome.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Abidjan 2: Elijah Sanogo vs Michael Mmoh" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$56K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 0%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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