Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Titouan Droguet and Terence Atmane in the Bordeaux, originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Titouan Droguet' if Titouan Droguet advances against Terence Atmane. This market will resolve to 'Terence Atmane' if Terence Atmane advances against Titouan Droguet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Bordeaux: Titouan Droguet vs Terence Atmane | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Bordeaux: Titouan Droguet vs Terence Atmane Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 83% YES | 18% NO |
| Bordeaux: Titouan Droguet vs Terence Atmane Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 41% YES | 60% NO |
| Bordeaux: Titouan Droguet vs Terence Atmane Set 1 Winner | 51% YES | 49% NO |
| Bordeaux: Titouan Droguet vs Terence Atmane Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| Bordeaux: Titouan Droguet vs Terence Atmane Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 33% YES | 68% NO |
| Bordeaux: Titouan Droguet vs Terence Atmane Match O/U 21.5 | 58% YES | 42% NO |
Titouan Droguet and Terence Atmane are scheduled to meet in the Bordeaux tournament on 14 May 2026. The match sits at 49% implied probability for Droguet on Polymarket's order book, reflecting near-parity between the two players in current market pricing. Settlement occurs by 21 May 2026, allowing a seven-day window for completion; matches delayed beyond that point or cancelled outright resolve 50-50.
Both players operate in the lower-to-mid tier of professional tennis rankings, where head-to-head records and recent form carry substantial weight in match outcomes. Direct historical matchups between French domestic circuit competitors often show tight probability distributions when neither player commands a clear ranking advantage. The 49-51 split suggests the market has identified comparable recent performances or surface-specific strengths that offset any marginal ranking differential. Bordeaux clay conditions favour baseline consistency and movement efficiency—factors that typically narrow the gap between closely matched opponents.
Traders should monitor official ATP or tournament announcements regarding surface preparation and scheduling changes, as clay courts remain sensitive to weather delays. Recent injury reports or withdrawal news from either player would shift the order book immediately. The Bordeaux event typically runs mid-May; any fixture rescheduling beyond the settlement window becomes a practical concern. Current market depth and the tight probability suggest modest liquidity, meaning larger position entries may face wider spreads than the mid-market 49% implies.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Bordeaux: Titouan Droguet vs Terence Atmane" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$11K in lifetime turnover and $45K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $11K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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