Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Pierluigi Basile and Francesco Forti in the Perugia, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pierluigi Basile' if Pierluigi Basile advances against Francesco Forti. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Forti' if Francesco Forti advances against Pierluigi Basile. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Perugia: Pierluigi Basile vs Francesco Forti | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Pierluigi Basile and Francesco Forti are scheduled to meet in the Perugia tournament on 3 June 2026, with the market currently pricing both players at 50% implied probability on Polymarket's order book. The settlement window extends to 10 June, allowing a seven-day buffer for scheduling delays. Both players compete primarily on the Challenger circuit, where surface preference and recent form typically drive match outcomes. The even split reflects genuine uncertainty about their relative strength at this specific event, with neither player commanding a clear favourite's premium.
Basile and Forti have limited head-to-head history at professional level, which explains why the market has settled at parity rather than anchoring to historical dominance patterns. Italian domestic tournaments often feature unpredictable results when regional players meet, as familiarity and local conditions create non-standard dynamics. Recent Challenger results from both players through May 2026 will be the primary data point traders should monitor, particularly their performance on clay courts given Perugia's surface.
Traders should track official ATP Challenger Tour announcements for any withdrawal confirmations, injury updates, or schedule changes. The original 4:00 AM ET start time is atypical and may shift; confirmation of the exact match time closer to the event date could affect liquidity on the order book. Weather disruptions in early June are a secondary consideration for Italian clay tournaments, though unlikely to trigger the 50-50 resolution threshold unless delays extend beyond the seven-day window.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Perugia: Pierluigi Basile vs Francesco Forti" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $232 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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