Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the table tennis match between Xingtong Chen and Szu-Yu Chen in a WTT event, scheduled for May 2 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xingtong Chen' if Xingtong Chen wins against Szu-Yu Chen. This market will resolve to 'Szu-Yu Chen' if Szu-Yu Chen wins against Xingtong Chen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| WTT - Women's Singles: Xingtong Chen vs Szu-Yu Chen | 100% YES | 0% NO |
A Women's Table Tennis (WTT) singles match between Xingtong Chen and Szu-Yu Chen is scheduled for 2 May at 1:00 PM ET. The market currently reflects a 100% implied probability on Polymarket's order book, suggesting either extremely lopsided expectations or minimal liquidity at present pricing. Settlement occurs by 9 May 2026, allowing a one-week window for match completion. The resolution framework treats match cancellations, ties, or delays beyond seven days as 50-50 splits, whilst retirements or defaults by either player trigger resolution to the advancing competitor.
Historical precedent in women's table tennis markets shows that heavily skewed probabilities often reflect seeding disparities or recent head-to-head records rather than genuine certainty. Xingtong Chen, a Chinese player, typically competes at a higher ranking tier than Szu-Yu Chen of Taiwan, which would explain directional bias. However, table tennis matches remain inherently volatile; upsets occur regularly at WTT events, particularly in early-round encounters where preparation and form fluctuate considerably.
Traders should monitor WTT official scheduling confirmations and any withdrawal announcements in the days preceding 2 May. Recent injury reports or last-minute roster changes could alter match viability. The current 100% pricing likely reflects insufficient order-book depth rather than genuine certainty, creating potential arbitrage opportunities should either player's fitness status shift or scheduling complications emerge.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.worldtabletennis.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "WTT - Women's Singles: Xingtong Chen vs Szu-Yu Chen" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$165 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.worldtabletennis.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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