Sports

Trade: Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx

50% YES 50% NO

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for May 27 at 9:00PM ET: If the Atlanta Dream win, the market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream". If the Minnesota Lynx win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Lynx". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
$1
Total Volume
—
24h Volume
—
Open Interest
—
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Market outcomes

Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx 50% YES50% NO

Market context

The Atlanta Dream and Minnesota Lynx are scheduled to meet on 27 May at 9:00 PM ET in a regular-season WNBA matchup. The current 50-50 split on Polymarket's order book reflects genuine uncertainty between two competitive franchises. Settlement occurs at 01:00 UTC on 28 May, with postponement provisions extending the market until completion and cancellation triggering a 50-50 resolution.

Minnesota enters as the stronger historical performer, having won three WNBA championships and consistently fielding playoff-calibre rosters. Atlanta has shown improvement in recent seasons but remains the less established franchise. Head-to-head records and recent form typically favour the Lynx, yet the even split suggests traders are pricing in Atlanta's home-court advantage or recent momentum shifts within the 2026 season. Comparable matchups between established and rising teams often settle near these midpoint probabilities when venue effects balance historical strength.

Traders should monitor roster availability in the days preceding the fixture, particularly injury reports for key players on either side. Weather conditions at the venue and any last-minute scheduling adjustments could shift the probability. Recent WNBA standings and each team's performance trajectory through May will inform whether the current 50-50 reflects genuine parity or represents mispricing relative to underlying form. Official team announcements regarding player status typically emerge 24–48 hours before tip-off.

Wikipedia Context

  • Atlanta Dream
    Atlanta Dream

    The Atlanta Dream are an American professional basketball team based in the Atlanta metropolitan area. The Dream compete in the Women's National Basketball Association (WNBA) as a member of the Eastern Conference. The team was founded for the 2008 WNBA season. The team is owned by real estate investors Larry Gottesdiener, Suzanne Abair, and former Dream play

  • Atlanta Dragway
    Atlanta Dragway

    Darana Dragway Commerce is a proposed drag racing facility located in Banks County, Georgia, just north of Commerce, Georgia. Originally Atlanta Dragway from 1976 to its 2021 closure, the track hosted From 1981 until 2021, it hosted the NHRA Mission Foods Drag Racing Series Southern Nationals.

  • Atlanta Area School for the Deaf
    Atlanta Area School for the Deaf

    Atlanta Area School for the Deaf (AASD) is a state-operated K-12 public school in Clarkston, Georgia. It provides full-day instructional services to infants, children, and youth who are deaf, including persons with multiple disabilities. The classroom programs range from preschool through twelfth grade. Students experience a range of academic, vocational, an

  • Atlanta Bread Company
    Atlanta Bread Company

    Atlanta Bread Company is a privately owned American chain of bakery-café fast casual restaurants with 9 locations in Georgia and North Carolina. Its headquarters are in Smyrna, Georgia, a suburb northwest of Atlanta. Offerings include bakery items, pasta, salads, sandwiches, soups, and specialty drinks.

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.wnba.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$0 in lifetime turnover and $1 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

What is the current probability for "Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx"?

As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 50%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.wnba.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 28 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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