Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Ukraine Premier Liha game between RNK Veres Rivne and FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih, scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the RNK Veres Rivne vs. FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih match originally scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 12% YES | 88% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 7% YES | 93% NO |
RNK Veres Rivne will face FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih in the Ukraine Premier Liha on 12 May 2026, with settlement determined by the final score at 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market currently reflects a 49% implied probability for the exact score outcome, suggesting traders view this fixture as genuinely uncertain across the listed scorelines. Polymarket's order book is pricing this symmetrically, indicating neither side commands clear conviction on any particular result.
Historical matchups between these clubs provide limited predictive value given the volatility of Ukrainian football during the 2025–26 season. Veres Rivne and Kryvbas represent mid-table competition in the Premier Liha, with both sides typically producing 1–2 goals per match. The probability distribution across exact scores tends to cluster around 1–1, 2–1, and 1–0 outcomes in comparable fixtures between similarly-ranked sides, though the "Any Other Score" category frequently captures 30–40% of resolution probability in exact-score markets.
Traders should monitor team news and injury reports in the fortnight before the fixture, as absences of key players materially shift expected goal output. Weather conditions in Rivne during May can favour lower-scoring matches. The settlement window closes at 15:00 UTC on match day, allowing traders to adjust positions based on pre-match lineups and late-breaking information. Postponement risk remains non-trivial given ongoing infrastructure challenges in Ukraine, which would keep the market open beyond the original date.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://upl.ua/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "RNK Veres Rivne vs. FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $24K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://upl.ua/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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