Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Ukraine Premier Liha game, scheduled for May 13 at 11:00 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-1.5) | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| FK Obolon Kyiv (-1.5) | 16% YES | 84% NO |
| FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-2.5) | 42% YES | 59% NO |
| FK Obolon Kyiv (-2.5) | 16% YES | 84% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 83% YES | 17% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 76% YES | 25% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 63% YES | 38% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 43% YES | 57% NO |
FK Shakhtar Donetsk will face FK Obolon Kyiv in the Ukraine Premier Liha on 13 May 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. The market is currently pricing a 51% probability for "more markets" to be available, reflecting genuine uncertainty about the depth of liquidity and order-book activity Polymarket will support for this fixture. The settlement window closes at 15:00 UTC on match day, leaving a narrow window for final price discovery.
Ukraine's top division has experienced fixture volatility in recent seasons owing to geopolitical disruption and scheduling pressures. Shakhtar, historically the stronger side, has faced operational constraints that have occasionally affected squad availability and form consistency. Comparable Eastern European league fixtures on Polymarket have typically seen modest order-book depth unless backed by significant trader interest; the 51% mark suggests the crowd is genuinely split on whether secondary or derivative markets will materialise around this match.
Traders should monitor official Ukraine Premier Liha announcements regarding fixture confirmation, team news, and any last-minute scheduling changes through early May. Injury reports and squad rotation decisions—particularly for Shakhtar—will influence broader market sentiment and potentially trigger additional derivative-market creation. The narrow settlement window means any late-breaking developments will compress the trading window significantly, making early positioning critical for those anticipating expanded market offerings.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://upl.ua/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. FK Obolon Kyiv - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$37 in lifetime turnover and $11K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $37 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://upl.ua/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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