Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Copa Sudamericana game, scheduled for May 19 at 10:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| CD Cuenca (-1.5) | 29% YES | 71% NO |
| Recoleta FC (-1.5) | 21% YES | 79% NO |
| CD Cuenca (-2.5) | 19% YES | 81% NO |
| Recoleta FC (-2.5) | 16% YES | 84% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 70% YES | 30% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 56% YES | 45% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 32% YES | 69% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 19% YES | 82% NO |
CD Cuenca will face Recoleta FC in the Copa Sudamericana on 19 May at 22:00 ET, with settlement determined by the availability of additional betting markets for this fixture. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 30% implied probability for "more markets" being offered, suggesting traders assess roughly a 7-in-10 chance that supplementary markets—such as correct score, first goalscorer, or card totals—will not materialise for this particular match.
Historical precedent shows Copa Sudamericana fixtures receive variable market depth depending on fixture prominence and participating clubs' profile. Matches involving established Argentine or Brazilian sides typically attract fuller market coverage, whilst encounters between smaller regional clubs often see limited secondary markets. Cuenca, an Ecuadorian side, and Recoleta, a Paraguayan club, occupy mid-tier status within the competition, placing this fixture in a category where supplementary markets are neither guaranteed nor exceptional.
Traders should monitor official Copa Sudamericana scheduling confirmations and Polymarket's own market-opening decisions in the days preceding the match. Sportsbook activity and betting exchange liquidity for this fixture will signal anticipated demand. The settlement window closes 20 May at 02:00 UTC, allowing roughly 24 hours post-match for any additional markets to be created. Recent fixture coverage patterns across prediction markets suggest smaller confederation derbies increasingly attract niche markets, though availability remains contingent on platform operator discretion and user demand thresholds.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.conmebol.com/sudamericana/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "CD Cuenca vs. Recoleta FC - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.conmebol.com/sudamericana/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 20 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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