Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game between Academia Puerto Cabello and CA Juventud, scheduled for May 21, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Juventud match originally scheduled for May 21, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
Academia Puerto Cabello will face CA Juventud in a Copa Sudamericana fixture on 21 May 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. The market prices exact-score outcomes, with all results outside the listed options collapsing into "Any Other Score." Settlement occurs at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty outcomes do not factor into resolution. The current 48% implied probability on YES reflects Polymarket's order book pricing for a specific scoreline, suggesting moderate conviction around a particular outcome amongst traders active on the book today.
Exact-score markets in Copa Sudamericana matches typically see the most common results—1–0, 1–1, 2–1, 2–0—account for roughly 60–70% of final tallies across comparable South American club competitions. The 48% probability indicates traders are pricing neither team as heavily favoured to dominate; this aligns with typical competitive balance in Copa Sudamericana group or knockout stages where regional clubs possess comparable technical depth. Historical data from recent tournaments shows that when implied probabilities cluster around 45–50% for specific scorelines, the underlying match often features evenly matched sides.
Traders should monitor team news through May for injury updates affecting either squad's attacking or defensive shape. Fixture congestion in the Venezuelan and Argentine domestic calendars immediately preceding the match could influence fatigue levels and tactical approach. Recent form data and head-to-head records, where available, will sharpen probability estimates as the match date approaches. Weather conditions at the venue on match day may also shift expected goal distributions.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.conmebol.com/sudamericana/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Juventud - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $334 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.conmebol.com/sudamericana/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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