Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game between Damac Saudi Club and Al Fayha Saudi Club, scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club match originally scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 9% YES | 91% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 13% YES | 87% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 9% YES | 91% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 13% YES | 87% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 4% YES | 97% NO |
Damac Saudi Club will face Al Fayha Saudi Club in a Saudi Professional League fixture on 15 May 2026. The market prices an 11% probability on the current Polymarket order book for an exact final score matching one of the explicitly listed outcomes, with all other scorelines settling to "Any Other Score." This pricing reflects the inherent difficulty in predicting precise match results; exact-score markets typically concentrate probability mass across dozens of potential outcomes, leaving any single scoreline with modest odds.
Historical exact-score markets in football demonstrate that outcomes clustering around 1–0, 1–1, and 2–1 results tend to capture 40–50% of total probability, whilst higher-scoring lines and unusual margins remain thinly traded. The current 11% probability suggests the listed outcomes in this market represent a relatively narrow set of expected scorelines. Traders should assess both clubs' recent form, defensive records, and goal-scoring patterns from the 2025–26 season to evaluate whether the order book has mispriced particular outcomes relative to their historical frequency.
Key variables affecting the match include squad availability, injuries to key attacking or defensive players, and any fixture congestion in the weeks preceding 15 May. The Saudi Professional League's scheduling and any mid-week commitments for either club could influence fatigue levels and team selection. Weather conditions in Saudi Arabia during May—typically hot—may also affect playing tempo and substitution patterns. Traders should monitor official team news and league announcements as the fixture date approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.slstat.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $27K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.slstat.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 15 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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