Trade: Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli - Exact Score
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Serie A game between Pisa SC and SSC Napoli, scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli match originally scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $31K
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
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- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 12% YES | 88% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 12% YES | 88% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 9% YES | 91% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 8% YES | 92% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 9% YES | 91% NO |
Market context
Pisa SC will face SSC Napoli in a Serie A fixture on 17 May 2026, with settlement determined by the final score at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 6% implied probability for the exact score outcome, indicating substantial uncertainty around which specific scoreline will materialise. This probability is formed through continuous trading activity, with the spread between bid and ask prices determining where the market settles at any given moment.
Historical Serie A matchups between these sides provide context for evaluating the likelihood of specific scorelines. Napoli, as a traditionally stronger side competing for European qualification, typically dominates possession and shot volume against lower-ranked opponents. Pisa, competing at a lower tier historically, would face significant defensive pressure. Most Serie A matches between mismatched sides resolve to scorelines favourable to the stronger team—commonly 2–0, 2–1, or 3–1 results—rather than narrow or high-scoring draws. The 6% probability reflects the inherent difficulty of predicting exact scores, where even favoured outcomes carry modest individual probabilities.
Traders should monitor team news through May, including injury reports and squad rotation decisions, particularly for Napoli given potential fixture congestion late in the season. Pisa's recent form and any managerial changes would influence expected performance levels. Weather conditions and pitch state at Pisa's stadium on match day can affect passing accuracy and scoring patterns. Any fixture postponement would extend the settlement window, requiring traders to reassess probabilities based on updated circumstances.
Wikipedia Context
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Pisa SCPisa Sporting Club, commonly referred to as Pisa, is an Italian professional football club based in Pisa, Tuscany. The club currently competes in Serie A in the 2025–26 season.
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PisaPisa is a city and comune (municipality) in Tuscany, Central Italy, straddling the Arno just before it empties into the Ligurian Sea. It is the capital city of the Province of Pisa. Although Pisa is known worldwide for the Leaning Tower of Pisa, the city contains more than twenty other historic churches, and several medieval and Renaissance palaces, mostly f
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Pisa CathedralPisa Cathedral, officially the Primatial Metropolitan Cathedral of the Assumption of Mary, is a medieval Catholic cathedral dedicated to the Assumption of the Virgin Mary, in the Piazza dei Miracoli in Pisa, Italy, the oldest of the three structures in the plaza followed by the Pisa Baptistry and the Campanile known as the Leaning Tower of Pisa. The cathedra
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Pisa International AirportPisa International Airport — also named Galileo Galilei Airport — is an international airport located in Pisa, Italy. It is one of the two major airports in Tuscany, the other being Florence Airport. Pisa is ranked 10th in Italy in terms of passenger numbers. It is named after Galileo Galilei, the scientist and native of Pisa. The airport was first developed
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.legaseriea.it/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $31K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.legaseriea.it/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli - Exact Score"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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