Resolution criteria on PolyGram: Total corners markets for the Serie A game between US Cremonese and Pisa SC, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Corners: O/U 7.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Corners: O/U 9.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Corners: O/U 10.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Corners: O/U 11.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
US Cremonese will face Pisa SC in a Serie A fixture on 10 May 2026, with settlement determined by the total number of corner kicks awarded during the match. The current order book on Polymarket shows a 0% implied probability for the YES outcome, suggesting traders are pricing an expectation that corners will fall below the threshold specified in the market's terms. This extreme probability reflects either a very low corner threshold or minimal liquidity establishing a floor price.
Corner frequency in Serie A matches typically ranges from 8 to 14 per game, depending on team playing style, defensive setup and match intensity. Cremonese and Pisa's historical corner rates provide context for evaluating whether the current pricing reflects realistic match dynamics. Teams with possession-dominant approaches and high-pressure tactics generate more corners; conversely, defensive, counter-attacking sides produce fewer. The settlement threshold itself—not disclosed in the market description—is critical to interpreting the 0% reading; a threshold of 3 corners would be unusually restrictive, whilst 15+ would be conservative.
Traders should monitor team news in the weeks preceding the fixture, particularly injury status of key defensive players and tactical announcements from either manager. Fixture congestion in late April and early May could affect squad rotation and intensity. Weather conditions on match day—wind and rain increase corner frequency—warrant attention closer to settlement. The current extreme probability warrants verification of the exact corner threshold and confirmation that the market parameters align with standard Serie A corner distributions before committing capital.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.legaseriea.it/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC - Total Corners" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$627 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.legaseriea.it/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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