Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Scottish Premiership game, scheduled for May 12 at 2:45 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Kilmarnock FC (-1.5) | 26% YES | 74% NO |
| Dundee FC (-1.5) | 10% YES | 91% NO |
| Kilmarnock FC (-2.5) | 11% YES | 90% NO |
| Dundee FC (-2.5) | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 95% YES | 5% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 78% YES | 22% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 31% YES | 70% NO |
Kilmarnock FC will face Dundee FC in a Scottish Premiership fixture on 12 May 2026 at 14:45 ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 26% implied probability for the "More Markets" outcome, suggesting traders are pricing in a relatively low likelihood of this particular market condition materialising. The spread between bid and ask orders indicates modest liquidity, typical for niche football markets settling late in the season.
Scottish Premiership matches in May typically carry reduced volatility compared to autumn fixtures, as league positions are largely determined and squad rotation becomes common. Historical precedent shows that late-season encounters between mid-table sides like Kilmarnock and Dundee often feature conservative play and lower-scoring outcomes. The 26% probability sits below the baseline expectation for comparable fixtures, suggesting the market is pricing in specific constraints or conditions that would prevent the additional markets from opening.
Traders should monitor team news and injury reports released in the week preceding the match, as absences of key players can shift tactical approaches and affect market behaviour. Fixture congestion—whether either side has European or cup commitments—remains a material factor. The settlement window closes at 18:45 ET on match day, giving traders a narrow window to react to pre-match developments. Recent Scottish Premiership scheduling has occasionally shifted kick-off times due to broadcast arrangements, so confirmation of the exact fixture time warrants attention.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://spfl.co.uk/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Kilmarnock FC vs. Dundee FC - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$19 in lifetime turnover and $40K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $19 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://spfl.co.uk/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: