Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Romania SuperLiga game between Dinamo 1948 and FC CFR 1907 Cluj, scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Dinamo 1948 vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj match originally scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Dinamo Bucureşti and CFR Cluj meet in the Romanian SuperLiga on 16 May 2026, with settlement determined by the final score at 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market currently reflects a 50% implied probability across Polymarket's order book, suggesting traders view the outcome distribution as balanced between the listed scorelines and "Any Other Score." This even split typically emerges when multiple plausible results carry similar weight, rather than one dominant outcome dominating the book.
Historically, Dinamo–CFR fixtures have produced varied scorelines. Between 2020 and 2025, their encounters yielded results ranging from 1–1 draws to 2–1 victories, with neither side establishing consistent dominance in head-to-head play. CFR Cluj has generally maintained stronger league positions during this period, though Dinamo has shown capacity for competitive performances at home. The current 50% probability reflects this competitive equilibrium rather than a clear favourite emerging from recent form.
Traders should monitor team news through May, particularly injury updates and squad rotation patterns as the season concludes. CFR Cluj's European commitments, if any extend into late May, could influence squad availability. Polymarket's order book will likely shift as match day approaches and late-breaking team news surfaces. Weather conditions in Bucharest on match day and any fixture rescheduling announcements will also move prices, though the settlement window remains open until 18:00 UTC on 16 May to accommodate potential postponements.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.lpf.ro/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Dinamo 1948 vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $719 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.lpf.ro/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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