Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between Cusco FC and CD Los Chankas, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Cusco FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| CD Los Chankas | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Cusco FC will host CD Los Chankas in Peru's Liga 1 on 10 May 2026, with settlement determined by the halftime scoreline after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either extreme confidence in a specific outcome or minimal liquidity formation at present, suggesting the market has not yet attracted substantive trading activity to establish a balanced price discovery mechanism.
Peruvian Liga 1 matches historically show halftime draws occurring in roughly 35–45% of fixtures, with home advantage typically yielding a 40–50% probability of a home lead at the interval. Cusco FC's elevation to Liga 1 in recent seasons and Los Chankas' competitive positioning within the division will determine baseline expectations; teams with stronger possession and pressing records tend to establish halftime leads more frequently. The current zero probability reading is unusual for a binary halftime outcome and suggests either a data lag or that traders have not yet committed capital to establish realistic odds.
Key variables include team news and injury status, which typically emerge 48–72 hours before kickoff through official club announcements and Peruvian sports media outlets. Weather conditions at Cusco's high altitude (3,400 metres) can affect early-game tempo and fatigue patterns. Fixture congestion in the Peruvian calendar and any recent form trends—particularly first-half performance metrics from recent matches—will inform how traders price the halftime result once liquidity begins to form on the order book.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://liga1.pe/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Cusco FC vs. CD Los Chankas - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$133 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://liga1.pe/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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