Trade: Cusco FC vs. CA Grau - Exact Score
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between Cusco FC and CA Grau, scheduled for May 23, 2026 at 6:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Cusco FC vs. CA Grau match originally scheduled for May 23, 2026 at 6:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $255
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
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- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 3-0 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-3 | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-2 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 48% YES | 53% NO |
Market context
Cusco FC will face CA Grau in a Peru Liga 1 fixture on 23 May 2026, with settlement determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market currently reflects a 48% implied probability for the listed exact-score outcomes, with the remainder distributed across "Any Other Score." This pricing emerges from Polymarket's order book activity, where traders are pricing the likelihood that the match concludes with one of the explicitly enumerated scorelines rather than an unlisted result.
Peruvian Liga 1 matches typically feature moderate goal-scoring patterns, with most fixtures settling between 0–3 goals across both teams. Historical precedent suggests that exact-score markets in South American domestic leagues see roughly half their volume resolve to "Any Other Score" when five to eight specific outcomes are listed, reflecting the difficulty of predicting precise final tallies. Cusco FC and CA Grau's recent form, home-ground advantage dynamics, and squad availability will shape the distribution of plausible scorelines traders are currently pricing.
Key variables for traders include team news closer to the fixture date, particularly injury confirmations or suspensions that might affect attacking or defensive capability. Fixture congestion in the Peruvian calendar and any weather conditions affecting pitch conditions could shift goal-expectancy models. The settlement window closes at 22:15 UTC on match day, allowing traders to react to pre-match developments but requiring positions to be finalised before kick-off.
Wikipedia Context
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Cusco FCCusco Fútbol Club, commonly known as Cusco, or Cusco FC, is a Peruvian professional football club based in the city of Cusco, that currently competes in the Peruvian Primera División, the top tier of Peruvian football. It was founded on 28 August, 2008 as Real Garcilaso, changing their name to Cusco FC in 2019.
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Kingdom of CuscoThe Kingdom of Cusco, also called the Cusco confederation, the Cusco chiefdom, or the Inca Kingdom, was a small polity based in the Andean city of Cusco that began as a small city-state founded by the Incas around the start of 13th century. In time, through warfare or peaceful assimilation, it began to grow into the Inca Empire (1438–1533).
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Cusco CathedralThe Cathedral of Cusco or Cathedral Basilica of the Virgin of the Assumption is the main temple of the city of Cusco, in Peru and houses the headquarters of the Archdiocese of Cusco. The Cathedral Basilica of Cusco, together with the Triunfo temple make up the Cathedral Complex, it is located in the northeast sector of the current Plaza de Armas of Cusco. In
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Cusco Quechua
Cusco Quechua is a dialect of Southern Quechua spoken in Cusco and the Department of Cusco of Peru.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://liga1.pe/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Cusco FC vs. CA Grau - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $255 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://liga1.pe/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 23 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Cusco FC vs. CA Grau - Exact Score"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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