Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for May 24 at 2:15 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| CS Huancayo (-1.5) | 45% YES | 56% NO |
| CS Cienciano (-1.5) | 33% YES | 67% NO |
| CS Huancayo (-2.5) | 27% YES | 74% NO |
| CS Cienciano (-2.5) | 28% YES | 73% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 61% YES | 39% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 53% YES | 48% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
CS Huancayo will travel to face CS Cienciano in Peru's Liga 1 on 24 May at 2:15 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices this market at 40% YES, reflecting trader conviction that additional betting markets will be offered for this fixture. The probability formation reflects typical liquidity patterns for Peruvian football matches, where secondary markets materialise when fixtures attract sufficient trading interest.
Historical precedent suggests Liga 1 matches between established clubs generate supplementary markets roughly 60–70% of the time, particularly when fixtures fall within standard European trading hours. Huancayo and Cienciano both compete regularly in Peru's top division, making them eligible for expanded market coverage. The settlement window closing shortly after kickoff indicates traders are pricing in market creation before or during the match itself, consistent with how Polymarket handles live sports events.
Key variables include fixture confirmation status, any late scheduling changes, and whether either club faces injury crises or suspension issues that might affect trading volume. Cienciano's recent form and Huancayo's home-ground advantage will likely influence whether traders deem the match sufficiently competitive to justify additional markets. Weather conditions in Peru's highland regions can occasionally force postponements, though such occurrences remain uncommon. Traders should monitor official Liga 1 announcements through late May for any fixture modifications that could affect market creation likelihood.
Chancayoc or Chhankayuq is a mountain in the Andes of Peru which reaches an altitude of approximately 4,800 m (15,700 ft). It is located in the Ancash Region, Bolognesi Province, Huasta District. Chancayoc lies near Pisqan Punta, southwest of the Huallanca mountain range.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://liga1.pe/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "CS Huancayo vs. CS Cienciano - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://liga1.pe/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 24 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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