Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Major League Pickleball team matchup between Los Angeles Mad Drops and Carolina Hogs at MLP Dallas, scheduled for May 24 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Los Angeles Mad Drops' if Los Angeles Mad Drops wins the overall team matchup against Carolina Hogs. This market will resolve to 'Carolina Hogs' if Carolina Hogs wins the overall team matchup against Los Angeles Mad Drops. If the matchup is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| MLP Dallas: Los Angeles Mad Drops vs Carolina Hogs | 100% YES | 0% NO |
The Los Angeles Mad Drops face the Carolina Hogs in a Major League Pickleball team matchup scheduled for 24 May at 2:30PM ET as part of the MLP Dallas event. The market currently reflects a 100% implied probability for a Los Angeles victory, suggesting the order book has priced in a decisive outcome favouring the Mad Drops. This extreme probability typically emerges when one team holds a substantial competitive advantage or when historical matchup data heavily favours one side.
Major League Pickleball's team format involves multiple matches across different player pairings, with overall victory determined by cumulative wins. Historical context matters considerably here: teams with stronger roster depth and recent tournament performance tend to command higher probabilities in these matchups. The Mad Drops' standing within the current MLP season, their head-to-head record against the Hogs, and individual player form across both organisations will have shaped today's order book positioning. Recent MLP tournament results and team composition changes typically drive significant probability shifts in the weeks preceding scheduled matches.
Traders should monitor roster announcements or late withdrawals from either team, which could alter competitive balance substantially. The settlement window extends to 31 May at 18:30 UTC, providing a week's buffer beyond the scheduled match date. Any cancellation, postponement beyond 7 days without resolution, or tied result would trigger a 50-50 resolution, making fixture confirmation and match completion critical catalysts for this market.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://majorleaguepickleball.co/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "MLP Dallas: Los Angeles Mad Drops vs Carolina Hogs" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$10 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://majorleaguepickleball.co/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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