Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Morocco Botola Pro game, scheduled for Sunday, May 10, 2026 between COD Meknès and RS Berkane.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| COD Meknès | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (COD Meknès vs. RS Berkane) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| RS Berkane | 100% YES | 0% NO |
COD Meknès will face RS Berkane in a Moroccan Botola Pro fixture on Sunday, 10 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero probability assigned to a COD Meknès victory, reflecting either extreme confidence in an alternative outcome or minimal liquidity at the YES side of the book. With settlement occurring at 18:00 UTC on match day, traders have roughly five months to observe team form, injury status, and competitive positioning within Morocco's top division.
The 0% implied probability warrants scrutiny against historical precedent. In domestic league matches between clubs of comparable standing, outright dismissal of either side rarely reflects actual match dynamics; such extreme pricing typically emerges from thin order books rather than genuine predictive consensus. Berkane has established itself as a competitive force in Moroccan football, whilst Meknès operates within the same tier. Comparable fixtures in the Botola Pro rarely settle with such lopsided outcomes, suggesting the current probability reflects market structure rather than fundamental assessment.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding squad changes, managerial decisions, and fixture congestion as the season progresses. Injury reports and domestic cup commitments in early 2026 will shape both sides' preparation. Recent Botola Pro standings and head-to-head records between these clubs will clarify whether the current pricing reflects genuine performance gaps or simply order book imbalance. The settlement window's five-month horizon allows material information to accumulate before the match.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.frmf.ma/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "COD Meknès vs. RS Berkane" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$829 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $565 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.frmf.ma/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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