Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between T1 and Dplus KIA in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 10 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against Dplus KIA. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win the match against T1. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 10% YES | 90% NO |
T1 and Dplus KIA will contest a best-of-three League of Legends match in the LCK's opening rounds on 10 May 2026. The fixture is scheduled for 4:00 AM ET, with settlement occurring at 14:00 UTC the same day. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 66% implied probability for T1 victory, suggesting market participants view the organisation as the clear favourite in this matchup.
T1's historical dominance in LCK competition and international tournaments provides substantial foundation for the current pricing. The organisation has won multiple regional titles and consistently fields rosters capable of competing at the highest level. Dplus KIA, whilst a competitive LCK side, has not demonstrated the same sustained excellence. Previous encounters between these teams and their respective performances in prior seasons inform how traders are calibrating the probability gap. The 34-point spread in T1's favour reflects confidence in their capability rather than an assessment of Dplus KIA as a weak opponent.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute lineup changes in the days preceding the match, as substitutions can materially affect competitive balance. Schedule adherence remains critical given the settlement window's seven-day buffer; any postponement beyond 17 May without a completed result triggers a 50-50 resolution. Recent LCK broadcasts have maintained consistent scheduling, reducing cancellation risk, though technical issues or player unavailability remain potential catalysts. Team form heading into the opening rounds—particularly performance in scrims or any public practice matches—may prompt order book adjustments before settlement.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/lck. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2.3M in lifetime turnover and $1.9M of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $2.3M in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/lck. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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