Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming K-League game, scheduled for Saturday, May 9, 2026 between Gwangju FC and Gangwon FC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Gwangju FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (Gwangju FC vs. Gangwon FC) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Gangwon FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Gwangju FC will travel to face Gangwon FC in a K-League fixture on Saturday, 9 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket shows a 0% implied probability for the YES outcome, indicating traders are pricing this event with extreme confidence in an alternative result or reflecting genuine uncertainty about match occurrence itself.
K-League matches between mid-table sides typically see modest trading volumes outside Korea, and the 0% probability may reflect thin liquidity rather than consensus certainty. Historical precedent suggests that when Korean domestic football fixtures show such extreme pricing, it often signals either a data feed issue, a mismatch between settlement criteria and trader expectations, or minimal participation from the core betting market. Comparable fixtures from previous seasons have generally traded with more balanced probabilities unless one side faced documented injury crises or administrative complications.
Traders should monitor official K-League announcements regarding fixture confirmation, team roster updates, and any weather or scheduling changes as the May date approaches. Gangwon FC's recent form and injury status will be material, as will Gwangju FC's competitive standing in the league table at that point. The settlement window closes on 9 May at 07:30 UTC, which falls before typical Korean evening kick-off times, so clarification of the exact match time and settlement mechanism will be essential. Any liquidity injection into the order book in the weeks preceding the fixture may signal renewed trader interest and potential repricing.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.kleague.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Gwangju FC vs. Gangwon FC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$70K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $68K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.kleague.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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