Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the J2 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for May 24 at 1:00 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Zweigen Kanazawa (-1.5) | 42% YES | 58% NO |
| Kōchi United SC (-1.5) | 37% YES | 64% NO |
| Zweigen Kanazawa (-2.5) | 26% YES | 75% NO |
| Kōchi United SC (-2.5) | 28% YES | 72% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 52% YES | 48% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 28% YES | 73% NO |
Zweigen Kanazawa and Kōchi United SC will contest a J2 League fixture on 24 May 2026, with settlement tied to the availability of additional betting markets for this match. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 42% implied probability for "More Markets" to resolve YES, suggesting traders assess a moderate-to-low likelihood that supplementary wagering options will be listed alongside the primary match outcome markets.
J2 League matches typically attract secondary market creation when fixtures involve clubs with strong supporter bases or when regional derbies generate heightened trading interest. Kanazawa and Kōchi represent mid-tier J2 sides; neither club commands the fixture liquidity of J1 promotion contenders, which historically correlates with sparser market proliferation. Comparable J2 fixtures from the 2024–25 season show that markets beyond win/draw/loss and total goals materialise in roughly 35–50% of cases, depending on kick-off timing and exchange capacity.
Traders should monitor Polymarket's market creation activity in the 72 hours preceding the 1:00 AM ET kick-off, as platform operators typically batch-list derivative markets once primary liquidity stabilises. J2 League scheduling announcements and any late fixture changes could influence whether additional markets justify operational costs. The settlement window closes at 05:00 UTC on 24 May, allowing a narrow window for market expansion post-announcement but before match commencement. Current order book depth suggests modest conviction either direction; significant new information regarding club form or betting demand could shift the probability materially.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.jleague.jp/en/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Kōchi United SC - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$10 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.jleague.jp/en/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 24 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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