Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming J2 100 Year Vision League game between Tegevajaro Miyazaki and Reilac Shiga, scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. Reilac Shiga match originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Tegevajaro Miyazaki and Reilac Shiga will contest a J2 League fixture on 24 May 2026, with settlement determined by the final score at 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market currently reflects a 50% implied probability across Polymarket's order book, indicating genuine uncertainty about whether the exact scoreline will match one of the explicitly listed outcomes or resolve to "Any Other Score." This even split suggests traders are pricing in substantial variance in potential match results, with no single scoreline commanding significant backing.
J2 League matches typically produce moderate goal tallies, with recent seasons averaging between 2.5 and 3.0 goals per game across the division. Historical data on Tegevajaro Miyazaki and Reilac Shiga's head-to-head records and current season form would inform whether either side favours high-scoring or low-scoring patterns. Teams' defensive records, injury status, and tactical setups closer to the fixture date will materially affect the probability distribution across specific scorelines.
Traders should monitor team news releases and official J2 League communications for squad updates, managerial changes, or fixture rescheduling announcements in the weeks preceding 24 May. Polymarket's order book depth will likely increase as the match date approaches, potentially shifting the current 50-50 probability as new information surfaces. Any significant roster changes, suspension notices, or weather forecasts affecting pitch conditions could trigger notable repricing across the available outcomes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.jleague.jp/en/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. Reilac Shiga - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $409 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.jleague.jp/en/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 24 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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