Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming J2 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for Sunday, May 3, 2026 between FC Imabari and FC Ōsaka.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| FC Imabari | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Draw (FC Imabari vs. FC Ōsaka) | 45% YES | 56% NO |
| FC Ōsaka | 46% YES | 54% NO |
FC Imabari will host FC Ōsaka in the J2 League on Sunday, 3 May 2026. The match is part of Japan's second-tier professional football competition, the J2 100 Year Vision League. The current order book on Polymarket prices a YES outcome (an Imabari victory) at 48%, reflecting near-parity between the two sides in trader expectations. Settlement occurs at 05:00 UTC on 3 May, immediately following the fixture.
Both clubs operate in a competitive mid-table environment within J2. Imabari, based in Ehime Prefecture, has established itself as a stable J2 presence, whilst Ōsaka represents one of the league's traditional powerhouses with greater historical resources. Head-to-head records between these sides show relatively balanced results, with neither club demonstrating consistent dominance. The 48% probability suggests traders view Imabari's home advantage as roughly offsetting Ōsaka's structural strength, a typical valuation pattern for matches between clubs of comparable current standing.
Traders should monitor team news releases through April 2026, particularly injury reports and squad rotation decisions as the season approaches its climax. Fixture congestion in late April may affect squad freshness; both clubs' prior commitments will influence available personnel. Recent form in the weeks preceding the match—particularly results from mid-April onwards—typically shifts probabilities materially. Weather conditions in Ehime on match day and any late tactical announcements from either manager could also trigger order book movement closer to settlement.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.jleague.jp/en/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FC Imabari vs. FC Ōsaka" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2 in lifetime turnover and $116 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $2 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.jleague.jp/en/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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