Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming J1 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for Wednesday, May 6, 2026 between Avispa Fukuoka and Kyōto Sanga FC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Avispa Fukuoka | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (Avispa Fukuoka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Kyōto Sanga FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Avispa Fukuoka will host Kyōto Sanga FC in a J1 League fixture on 6 May 2026. The current orderbook on Polymarket shows a 0% implied probability, reflecting either minimal trading activity or a consensus view that this particular outcome carries negligible likelihood within the settlement window. J1 League matches typically draw modest speculative interest relative to European football markets, and mid-table fixtures between clubs without major trophy contention often see thin liquidity and wide bid-ask spreads.
Historically, J1 League matches settle with reasonable clarity given Japan's well-documented fixture scheduling and match reporting standards. The league's administrative infrastructure has proven reliable for event resolution. However, the 0% probability here likely reflects the market's current lack of engagement rather than genuine certainty; similar domestic league matches in lower-profile pairings frequently show extreme probabilities simply due to sparse order flow rather than fundamental conviction.
Traders should monitor official J1 League fixture confirmations and any squad announcements from either club in the weeks preceding the match. Fukuoka's recent form and injury status will matter, as will Kyōto's tactical setup. The settlement window closes 6 May at 05:00 UTC, giving a narrow window for late-breaking information. Any significant news regarding player availability or managerial changes could shift the orderbook if trading activity increases, though the current zero probability suggests the market has not yet attracted serious participation on this fixture.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.jleague.jp/en/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Avispa Fukuoka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$37K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.jleague.jp/en/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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