Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Hyeon Chung and Thanapet Chanta in the ITF Men Nakhon Pathom, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hyeon Chung' if Hyeon Chung advances against Thanapet Chanta. This market will resolve to 'Thanapet Chanta' if Thanapet Chanta advances against Hyeon Chung. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Completed Match | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| ITF Nakhon Pathom: Hyeon Chung vs Thanapet Chanta | 85% YES | 16% NO |
Hyeon Chung, the South Korean former top-20 player, faces Thailand's Thanapet Chanta in an ITF Men's event at Nakhon Pathom scheduled for 13 May 2026. The market currently reflects a 50-50 split on Polymarket's order book, suggesting genuine uncertainty about the outcome. Chung has competed sporadically in recent years following injury setbacks that derailed his ATP career trajectory, whilst Chanta competes primarily on the ITF circuit. The match settlement window extends to 21 May, allowing a seven-day buffer for scheduling delays or completion issues.
Historical ITF matchups between players of differing career trajectories typically favour the competitor with more recent professional exposure. Chung's previous ATP ranking (around 19th) provides baseline context, though extended absences from competitive tennis often result in significant performance degradation. Comparable situations involving former top-ranked players returning to lower-tier events show mixed results, with outcomes heavily dependent on current fitness levels and match sharpness rather than historical credentials alone.
Traders should monitor official ITF tournament updates and player entry confirmations as the May date approaches. Chung's recent tournament schedule and any injury announcements would materially shift probability. Weather conditions in Thailand during May could affect match scheduling, whilst surface conditions at the Nakhon Pathom venue may favour particular playing styles. The resolution mechanism's tie-break provision (50-50 if unfinished after seven days) introduces additional settlement risk beyond standard match outcomes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Nakhon Pathom: Hyeon Chung vs Thanapet Chanta" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $254 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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