Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Liga Nacional Guatemala game, scheduled for Sunday, May 10, 2026 between CSD Xelajú MC and Comunicaciones FC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| CSD Xelajú MC | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw (CSD Xelajú MC vs. Comunicaciones FC) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Comunicaciones FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
CSD Xelajú MC will face Comunicaciones FC in a Liga Nacional Guatemala fixture on Sunday, 10 May 2026. The market is currently pricing this event at 100% implied probability on Polymarket's order book, reflecting either a heavily skewed trader consensus or illiquidity in the contract. Settlement occurs at 01:00 UTC on 11 May, approximately 24 hours after the scheduled kick-off.
Xelajú MC and Comunicaciones are established Liga Nacional sides with contrasting recent form trajectories. Xelajú, based in Quetzaltenango, has historically competed in the upper half of the Guatemalan league table, whilst Comunicaciones, the capital-based club, has been a consistent title contender. The 100% probability reading suggests traders may be pricing in either a near-certainty of match completion or an absence of meaningful uncertainty around the binary outcome being tracked. In comparable Liga Nacional markets, such extreme probabilities typically emerge when liquidity is thin or when the underlying event carries minimal dispute risk.
Traders should monitor official Liga Nacional fixture confirmations and any late-stage team news affecting squad availability. Weather conditions in the highlands around Quetzaltenango can occasionally disrupt scheduling, though May falls outside the heaviest rainy season. Injury announcements or administrative issues from either federation would be material catalysts. The settlement window's tight closure—just over an hour after the match concludes—means traders should verify the exact result reporting mechanism used by Polymarket before the fixture begins.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.ligagt.org/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "CSD Xelajú MC vs. Comunicaciones FC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$902 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $763 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.ligagt.org/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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