Sports

Trade: Red Star FC vs. Montpellier HSC - Exact Score

Opened 9 May 2026 · Settles 9 May 2026

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Ligue 2 game between Red Star FC and Montpellier HSC, scheduled for May 9, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Red Star FC vs. Montpellier HSC match originally scheduled for May 9, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market…

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity: $0
Total Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Open Interest: —

Trade this market on PolyGram →

Market outcomes

Exact Score: 0-0	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 0-1	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 1-0	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 0-2	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 1-1	100% YES	0% NO
Exact Score: 2-0	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 0-3	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 1-2	0% YES	100% NO

Market context

Red Star FC and Montpellier HSC will contest a Ligue 2 fixture on 9 May 2026, with settlement contingent on the 90-minute result. The 0% implied probability across Polymarket's order book reflects the market's current assessment that no single exact scoreline commands sufficient backing to register measurable trading volume at this remove from the match. With settlement occurring post-match at 18:00 UTC, the market structure isolates regulation time outcomes, excluding extra time and penalties, which narrows the resolution criteria but expands the "Any Other Score" catch-all category.

Historical precedent suggests exact-score markets in lower-tier European football typically exhibit dispersed probability distributions, with no single outcome exceeding 8–12% implied probability even as match day approaches. Ligue 2 fixtures between mid-table and promotion-contending sides have produced 1–1 and 2–1 results at elevated frequencies relative to other scorelines, though sample sizes remain modest. The current zero reading on Polymarket likely indicates minimal order placement rather than genuine market consensus that all discrete outcomes are impossible.

Traders should monitor team news and injury updates in the weeks preceding the fixture, particularly regarding key attacking personnel at both clubs. Montpellier's league position and Red Star's form trajectory will influence pre-match volatility. Fixture congestion in late April and early May could affect squad rotation decisions. Any official postponement announcements would extend the settlement window, though cancellation would trigger resolution to "Any Other Score" per the stated terms.

Wikipedia Context

Red star
A red star, five-pointed and filled, is a symbol that has often historically been associated with communist ideology, particularly in combination with the hammer and sickle, but is also used as a purely socialist symbol in the 21st century. It has been widely used in flags, state emblems, monuments, ornaments, and logos. A golden star or yellow star is also
Red Star Belgrade
Fudbalski klub Crvena zvezda, commonly referred to as Crvena zvezda and colloquially referred to as Red Star Belgrade in Anglophone media, is a Serbian professional football club based in Belgrade, and a major part of the Red Star multi-sport society.
Red Star FC
Red Star Football Club, commonly referred to as Red Star FC or simply Red Star, is a French professional football club founded in Paris in 1897. The club plays its home matches at the Stade Bauer. They currently compete in Ligue 2, the second tier of French football, having been promoted from the third tier Championnat National at the end of the 2023–24 seas
Wendy Red Star
Wendy Red Star is an Apsáalooke contemporary multimedia artist born in Billings, Montana, in the United States. Her humorous approach and use of Native American images from traditional media draw the viewer into her work, while also confronting romanticized representations. She juxtaposes popular depictions of Native Americans with authentic cultural and gen

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.ligue2.fr/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "Red Star FC vs. Montpellier HSC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

Key terms

YES / NO share: A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB: Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity: USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle: The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage: The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token: ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.ligue2.fr/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "Red Star FC vs. Montpellier HSC - Exact Score"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

View live odds & trade →

Related prediction markets

Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: