Resolution criteria on PolyGram: Total corners markets for the Ligue 1 game between Toulouse FC and Olympique Lyonnais, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Total Corners: O/U 9.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Corners: O/U 7.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Corners: O/U 10.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Corners: O/U 11.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Toulouse FC and Olympique Lyonnais will contest a Ligue 1 fixture on 10 May 2026, with settlement determined by total corner kicks awarded during the match. The current orderbook on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for YES, indicating market participants expect the corner total to exceed the threshold specified in the market terms. This extreme pricing typically emerges when the threshold itself is set conservatively—such as under 8 or 9 corners—relative to typical Ligue 1 match distributions.
Historical corner data across Ligue 1 seasons shows matches between mid-table and upper-table sides average 9–11 corners combined. Lyon, a consistent European competitor, typically generates 4–5 corners per match through sustained attacking play and set-piece routines. Toulouse's corner production varies more substantially depending on tactical setup and opposition; against stronger sides they average 3–4 corners. The 100% probability suggests the market has priced in a threshold that both teams' corner-generation profiles comfortably exceed under normal circumstances.
Traders should monitor team news through early May, particularly injury status for key attacking players at both clubs, as absences can reduce corner frequency through diminished pressing and attacking intensity. Fixture congestion in the final weeks of the season may also influence team selection and tactical conservatism. The settlement window closes at 19:00 UTC on match day, allowing no post-match adjustments; any ambiguity in corner counting during the broadcast should be clarified against official Ligue 1 records before expiry.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.ligue1.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais - Total Corners" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$536 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $345 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.ligue1.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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