Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between RC Strasbourg Alsace and Toulouse FC, scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| RC Strasbourg Alsace | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Toulouse FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
RC Strasbourg Alsace will host Toulouse FC in a Ligue 1 fixture on 3 May 2026, with the halftime result market settling on outcomes during the opening 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The current orderbook on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for a Strasbourg halftime victory, suggesting traders are pricing this outcome as effectively impossible at present. This extreme skew typically emerges when one side of the market has received minimal liquidity or when the book has been cleared of backing positions.
Halftime markets in French top-flight football have historically shown volatility relative to full-match odds, particularly when teams exhibit pronounced first-half patterns. Strasbourg's recent form and tactical setup will determine whether the current probability reflects genuine underlying expectation or merely thin liquidity. Teams with strong pressing systems or early-game aggression often see halftime favourites shift substantially from pre-match positioning, whilst defensive-minded sides frequently see away draws and away wins command higher halftime probabilities than full-match markets would suggest.
Traders should monitor team news closer to kickoff, including confirmed lineups and any late injury announcements that might alter Strasbourg's attacking intent. Toulouse's travel schedule and fixture congestion in the weeks preceding this match could influence their defensive readiness in the opening period. Weather conditions at the Stade de la Meinau and recent head-to-head patterns between these sides will also shape how the orderbook reprices as the match approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.ligue1.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Toulouse FC - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.ligue1.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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