Trade: Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC - Exact Score
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between Paris FC and Paris Saint-Germain FC, scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC match originally scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $45K
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
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- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 7% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-0 | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-1 | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-2 | 4% YES | 97% NO |
Market context
Paris FC and Paris Saint-Germain FC will meet in Ligue 1 on 17 May 2026, with the market settling on the exact final score at 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The 6% implied probability reflects the current order book on Polymarket, where traders are pricing in a relatively narrow set of scorelines as likely outcomes. Exact-score markets typically concentrate liquidity around the most probable results, with PSG's historical dominance in French football making certain scorelines—particularly PSG victories by one or two goals—substantially more probable than others.
PSG have won Ligue 1 eleven times since 2013, whilst Paris FC remain a lower-division club historically, only gaining promotion to Ligue 1 in 2023. Head-to-head records between these sides are limited, but PSG's consistent superiority in squad depth, financial resources, and European competition experience suggests wide scoring margins are plausible. The exact-score format inherently fragments probability across many outcomes; even a 2–0 PSG win might carry only 8–12% implied probability individually, making any single scoreline appear unlikely in isolation.
Traders should monitor team news and injury reports closer to the fixture date, particularly regarding PSG's attacking personnel and Paris FC's defensive availability. Fixture congestion in late May, with European competition potentially affecting PSG's rotation decisions, could influence expected goal output. Recent Ligue 1 form and any managerial changes at either club will also shape pre-match expectations and the order book's evolution through the settlement window.
Wikipedia Context
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Paris FCParis Football Club, commonly referred to as Paris FC or simply PFC, is a French professional association football club based in Paris, France, which competes in Ligue 1, the top division of French football.
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Paris FC (women)
Paris FC is a French women's football club based in Viry-Châtillon, a suburb of Paris. The club was founded in 1971 and currently play in the Première Ligue, the first division of women's football in France. The club has played in the first division since 1987.
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Paris Saint-Germain FCParis Saint-Germain Football Club, commonly referred to as Paris Saint-Germain, PSG, Paris, or Paris SG, is a French professional football club based in Paris. The club was founded in 1970 following the merger of Paris FC and Stade Saint-Germain, and competes in Ligue 1, the top tier of French football. PSG play their home matches at the Parc des Princes. Wi
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Paris JacksonParis-Michael Katherine Jackson is an American model, actress, and singer. The second child and daughter of Michael Jackson and Debbie Rowe, Jackson signed a deal with Republic Records in 2020. Her debut album, Wilted, was released that year.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.ligue1.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $45K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.ligue1.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC - Exact Score"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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