Trade: Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre - Player Props
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: Goal scorers for the Ligue 1 game between Lille OSC and AJ Auxerre, scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $307
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
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- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| Goalscorer: Matias Fernandez | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Goalscorer: Olivier Giroud | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Goalscorer: Gaetan Perrin | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Goalscorer: Hakon Arnar Haraldsson | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Goalscorer: Felix Correia | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Goalscorer: Osame Sahraoui | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Goalscorer: Ethan Mbappe | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Goalscorer: Lassine Sinayoko | 49% YES | 51% NO |
Market context
Lille OSC will face AJ Auxerre in a Ligue 1 fixture on 17 May 2026, with settlement contingent on which players score during the match. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 49% implied probability for the YES outcome, suggesting balanced uncertainty amongst traders regarding goal-scorer occurrence across both sides. This probability has formed through active trading on the platform's order book, where participants are pricing in both teams' attacking capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities heading into the final weeks of the season.
Historically, Ligue 1 matches between mid-table and lower-positioned clubs show variable goal-scorer frequency; comparable fixtures from recent seasons indicate that roughly half feature at least one goal-scorer outcome settling YES, depending heavily on team form and injury status in the weeks preceding the match. Lille's attacking depth and Auxerre's defensive record will be critical reference points for traders calibrating their positions against the current 49% mark.
Key catalysts to monitor include squad announcements regarding injuries or suspensions in the fortnight before the fixture, as well as both clubs' league positioning and remaining fixtures that might influence tactical approach. Auxerre's recent form and whether Lille rotate their squad given potential European commitments will materially affect goal-scoring probability. Any official team news released through Ligue 1 channels or club statements should be cross-referenced against current order book pricing to identify potential mispricings.
Wikipedia Context
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Lille OSCLille Olympique Sporting Club, commonly referred to as LOSC, LOSC Lille or simply Lille, is a French professional football club based in Lille, Northern France competing in Ligue 1, the top division of French football. Lille have played their home matches since 2012 at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy. The 50,186-capacity retractable roof venue is the fourth-largest
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Lille OSC in European football
French football club Lille OSC played their first European competition in the 1951 Latin Cup. Their first match was against Portuguese side Sporting CP.
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Lille OSC (women)
Lille OSC is a French women's football club based in Villeneuve-d'Ascq. The club is the female section of Ligue 1 men's club Lille OSC. The club was founded in 2005. Since 2017, they currently play in the Seconde Ligue, the second-highest division of women's football in France.
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Lille Strandstræde 8Lille Strandstræde 8 is an 18th-century property situated around the corner from Nyhavn in central Copenhagen, Denmark. Constructed as a two-storey, half-timbered building for Andreas Bodenhoff in the middle of the century, it was later first reconstructed in brick and heightened with two storeys in 1783 and then, in 1932, expanded with a seven-bays-long sid
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.ligue1.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre - Player Props" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $307 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.ligue1.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre - Player Props"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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