Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Uzbekistan and Colombia, scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Uzbekistan vs. Colombia match originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 5% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-3 | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-1 | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-2 | 4% YES | 96% NO |
Uzbekistan and Colombia will meet in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage on 17 June at 10:00 PM ET. This market resolves on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The current 6% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects the combined likelihood of all explicitly listed scorelines, with any result outside those options settling to "Any Other Score."
Exact-score markets in football typically carry low probabilities for any single outcome because legitimate results distribute across dozens of possibilities. Historical World Cup group matches between sides of comparable strength—where one team is ranked significantly lower—have produced a wide range of scorelines. Colombia, ranked 16th globally, enters as heavy favourites against Uzbekistan (ranked 88th), which narrows the realistic outcome distribution but does not eliminate variance. Group-stage matches frequently see 1–0, 2–0 or 2–1 results, yet upsets and high-scoring draws remain possible, particularly when teams have differing tactical approaches or fatigue levels late in tournaments.
Traders should monitor team news through May and June 2026, including injury updates and squad announcements from both federations. Colombia's recent form and any changes to their coaching setup will influence expected attacking output. Uzbekistan's preparation level and whether they field a competitive lineup despite likely elimination scenarios will affect defensive solidity. Fixture congestion in the group stage—determined by match scheduling—may impact team rotation and intensity. Any late withdrawals or squad changes announced closer to the match date could shift probabilities across specific scorelines.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Uzbekistan vs. Colombia - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$200 in lifetime turnover and $61K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 18 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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