Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 18 at 12:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Czechia (-1.5) | 23% YES | 78% NO |
| Czechia (-2.5) | 8% YES | 92% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 90% YES | 10% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 42% YES | 59% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 9% YES | 92% NO |
| Both Teams to Score | 46% YES | 54% NO |
| South Africa (-1.5) | 8% YES | 93% NO |
| South Africa (-2.5) | 5% YES | 96% NO |
The FIFA World Cup match between Czechia and South Africa is scheduled for 18 June 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket values a YES resolution at 23%, reflecting market participants' assessment that additional betting markets will be offered for this fixture. The settlement window closes at 16:00 UTC on the same day, giving traders a narrow window between kick-off and resolution.
Historical precedent suggests major World Cup matches typically attract multiple derivative markets beyond standard match outcomes. Previous tournaments have seen widespread availability of goal-scorer, card, and corner markets across major platforms. Czechia's qualification as a UEFA nation and South Africa's status as an African representative both carry established betting infrastructure, making supplementary markets commercially viable. The 23% probability implies meaningful uncertainty about whether the specific market operator will deploy additional offerings for this particular fixture.
Key variables affecting resolution include the commercial strategy of the relevant sportsbook operators in the days leading up to 18 June, fixture prominence within the tournament schedule, and regulatory clearances across jurisdictions where markets operate. Team news and injury updates typically emerge in the week prior, which may influence operator decisions on market breadth. The tight settlement window means traders should monitor operator announcements closely; any public indication of expanded market offerings would likely shift the probability materially before the match begins.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Czechia vs. South Africa - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$225 in lifetime turnover and $31K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 18 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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