Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Venezuela and Türkiye, scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Venezuela vs. Türkiye match originally scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
Venezuela and Türkiye will contest a FIFA International Friendly on 6 June 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This exact-score market settles on the final result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50% implied probability, suggesting traders view the outcome as genuinely uncertain. Any result not explicitly listed as a discrete option resolves to "Any Other Score," which typically captures the plurality of possible scorelines in football matches.
Historical precedent suggests exact-score markets in friendlies between teams of comparable strength tend to cluster around low-scoring outcomes. Venezuela's recent form has been inconsistent, whilst Türkiye qualified for the 2024 European Championship and maintains a stronger FIFA ranking. Friendlies between nations of differing competitive levels often produce 1–0 or 2–1 results more frequently than higher-scoring affairs. The 50% split on Polymarket's order book likely reflects uncertainty around whether the listed outcomes (presumably including 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–1, and similar) adequately capture the match's probable conclusion.
Traders should monitor team news through early June, particularly injury updates for key players and any late squad announcements. Türkiye's recent competitive calendar and Venezuela's Copa América preparation schedule could influence tactical approach and squad rotation. Confirmation of the match's fixture status remains critical; any postponement extends the settlement window, whilst cancellation would trigger the market's contingency clause.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Venezuela vs. Türkiye - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $92 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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