Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for June 7 at 1:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Kosovo (-1.5) | 41% YES | 59% NO |
| Andorra (-1.5) | 42% YES | 59% NO |
| Kosovo (-2.5) | 38% YES | 62% NO |
| Andorra (-2.5) | 38% YES | 62% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 62% YES | 38% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 48% YES | 53% NO |
Kosovo and Andorra are scheduled to meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 7 June 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket is pricing the proposition "More Markets" at 42% YES, reflecting modest conviction that additional betting markets will be offered for this fixture beyond those already available. This probability emerges from real-time trading activity and reflects how traders are weighing the likelihood of expanded market coverage for a lower-profile friendly between two smaller footballing nations.
Historical precedent suggests that market proliferation for international friendlies depends heavily on fixture prominence and liquidity appetite. UEFA and FIFA fixtures involving established nations typically attract multiple derivative markets—goal-scorer props, corner totals, and handicap variants—whilst matches between smaller confederations often see limited secondary market creation. Kosovo and Andorra have limited historical draw in global betting markets; comparable friendlies involving nations outside the major European leagues have rarely triggered extensive market expansion unless seeded by significant promotional activity or unexpected betting demand.
Traders should monitor FIFA's official fixture calendar and any announcements from Polymarket's market creation team through early June. The timing of this friendly relative to Euro 2026 qualifying cycles may influence whether sportsbooks and prediction platforms view it as strategically important. Additionally, any late-stage injury announcements or squad changes to either side could shift perceived match quality and thus platform appetite for additional markets. Current pricing reflects baseline scepticism about expanded coverage.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Kosovo vs. Andorra - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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