Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for June 9 at 10:00 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| DR Congo (-1.5) | 47% YES | 53% NO |
| Chile (-1.5) | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| DR Congo (-2.5) | 47% YES | 53% NO |
| Chile (-2.5) | 47% YES | 53% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 56% YES | 45% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 56% YES | 45% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
The Democratic Republic of Congo will face Chile in a FIFA International Friendly on 9 June 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This fixture sits within the broader international calendar ahead of the 2026 World Cup qualifiers and serves as preparation for both nations. The 47% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects genuine uncertainty about match outcomes, with the current bid-ask spread indicating modest liquidity typical of friendlies scheduled months in advance.
Historical context suggests friendlies involving African nations against South American sides produce competitive, unpredictable results. Congo's recent form and squad depth relative to Chile's Copa América experience will shape expectations as the match approaches. Chile, ranked consistently in the top 20 globally, typically favours friendly fixtures to test tactical systems, whilst Congo's participation reflects their development trajectory within African football. The current probability distribution on the order book suggests traders are pricing neither side as prohibitive favourites, reflecting the inherent variance in non-competitive fixtures.
Key catalysts include squad announcements from both federations in the weeks preceding the match, injury updates to key players, and any fixture schedule changes. Recent international friendly results between comparable nations and any pre-tournament statements from coaching staff will influence market repricing. Traders should monitor official FIFA communications and national federation announcements for confirmation of final squad lists, typically released 10–14 days before kick-off, which historically drives material probability shifts in friendly markets.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "DR Congo vs. Chile - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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