Trade: CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca - Exact Score
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming La Liga 2 game between CD Leganés and SD Huesca, scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca match originally scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $23K
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
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- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 8% YES | 92% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 11% YES | 89% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 13% YES | 87% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 9% YES | 91% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 4% YES | 97% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 6% YES | 94% NO |
Market context
CD Leganés will face SD Huesca in a La Liga 2 fixture on 18 May 2026, with settlement determined by the final score at 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market currently reflects a 49% implied probability across Polymarket's order book, suggesting near-even odds that the match will conclude with one of the explicitly listed scorelines rather than resolving to "Any Other Score." This probability distribution reflects the breadth of possible outcomes in a second-tier Spanish league match between two sides competing in the final weeks of the season.
Historical patterns in La Liga 2 suggest that exact-score markets typically see the most liquid trading around common results: 1–0, 1–1, 2–1, and 2–0 finishes account for a substantial portion of matches. With both clubs potentially fighting for promotion or avoiding relegation depending on their final-day circumstances, tactical approaches will influence scoring likelihood. The current 49% YES probability indicates the market is pricing meaningful uncertainty around whether the actual result falls within the predefined outcomes or diverges into less common scorelines.
Traders should monitor team news and league standings as the fixture approaches. Injury announcements, managerial changes, or shifts in playoff positioning could alter tactical setup and expected goal volume. The settlement window closes immediately after the match concludes, leaving no window for post-match adjustments or clarifications on official scoring.
Wikipedia Context
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CD LeganésClub Deportivo Leganés, S.A.D. is a professional football club based in Leganés, Community of Madrid. They currently compete in Segunda División. Leganés was officially founded 23 June 1928 and played their first season in the 6th division of Spanish football. The club's stadium, the Estadio Municipal Butarque, was built in 1998, after moving from the Luis R
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CD Leganés B
Club Deportivo Leganés B is a Spanish football team from Leganés, in the Madrid outskirts. They are the reserve team of CD Leganés. They play in white shirts with blue stripes, and white shorts. Their home stadium is the Instalación Deportiva Butarque.
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CD LlanesClub Deportivo Llanes is a football team based in Llanes in the autonomous community of Asturias. Founded in 1949, the team plays in Tercera Federación – Group 2. The club's home ground is San José, which has a capacity of 2,000 spectators.
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Sandor CleganeSandor Clegane, nicknamed the Hound, is a fictional character in the A Song of Ice and Fire series of fantasy novels by American author George R. R. Martin, and its television adaptation Game of Thrones.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $23K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 18 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca - Exact Score"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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