Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the La Liga 2 game, scheduled for May 8 at 2:30 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Cádiz CF (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| RC Deportivo La Coruña (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Cádiz CF (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| RC Deportivo La Coruña (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Cádiz CF and RC Deportivo La Coruña are scheduled to meet on 8 May 2026 in a La Liga 2 fixture, with kick-off at 19:30 GMT. The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either extreme confidence in a specific outcome or, more likely, sparse liquidity and wide spreads in this particular market contract. With settlement occurring immediately after the final whistle, the market is pricing certainty where none exists in football; such extremes typically signal thin order books rather than genuine consensus among traders.
La Liga 2 promotion races frequently hinge on final-day results, and both clubs' league positions as of late April 2026 will determine the stakes. Historical precedent shows that markets for lower-division Spanish football often trade with minimal depth until 48 hours before fixture time, when relevant team news—injuries, suspensions, or mathematical elimination from promotion contention—drives price discovery. Traders should monitor official La Liga announcements regarding final standings and any fixture postponements, though May 8 is the scheduled conclusion of the 2025–26 season.
The absence of meaningful probability distribution here suggests the market has not yet attracted sufficient trader interest to establish a functioning price. Watch for movement once team news breaks or if either side's playoff hopes crystallise. Early-window trades in thin markets often face slippage; liquidity typically improves as settlement approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Cádiz CF vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$37K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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