Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Eredivisie game between Feyenoord Rotterdam and AZ, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 10:45 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Feyenoord Rotterdam | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| AZ | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Feyenoord Rotterdam will host AZ Alkmaar on 10 May 2026 in an Eredivisie fixture, with this market settling on the halftime result after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal trading activity or a consensus that the outcome carries negligible likelihood at current pricing. Given the settlement window closes at 14:45 UTC—approximately four hours after kick-off—traders have a compressed window to react to first-half developments.
Halftime markets in Dutch football typically show wider probability distributions than full-match outcomes, as the sample size of 45 minutes introduces greater variance. Historical Eredivisie data suggests home teams score first in roughly 35–40% of matches, whilst draws at the interval occur in approximately 25–30% of fixtures. The current 0% reading on one outcome suggests either extreme confidence in alternative results or insufficient liquidity to establish meaningful pricing across all three options on the order book.
Traders should monitor team news in the days preceding the fixture, particularly injury updates affecting attacking personnel or goalkeeper availability. Recent form matters significantly for halftime markets: teams with strong opening-half records or those facing defensive vulnerabilities tend to establish early pressure. Fixture congestion in late April and early May can affect squad rotation decisions, potentially influencing starting lineups. The timing of any official team sheets, typically released 60 minutes before kick-off, will be the final catalyst for order book repricing before settlement.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://eredivisie.nl/competitie/speelschema. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. AZ - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$551 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $551 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://eredivisie.nl/competitie/speelschema. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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