Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Premier League game, scheduled for May 24 at 11:00 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Burnley FC (-1.5) | 37% YES | 64% NO |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5) | 38% YES | 63% NO |
| Burnley FC (-2.5) | 26% YES | 74% NO |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5) | 35% YES | 66% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 61% YES | 39% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 54% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
Burnley FC and Wolverhampton Wanderers will meet on 24 May 2026 in a Premier League fixture scheduled for 11:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 37% implied probability for the YES outcome, suggesting the market is pricing in a relatively low likelihood of the specified event occurring. This probability has formed through real-time trading activity as participants weigh available information and position themselves accordingly.
Historical precedent for late-season Premier League matches between mid-table sides shows considerable volatility in outcome probabilities, particularly when teams have competing objectives—European qualification, relegation battles, or merely securing final league position. Comparable fixtures from prior seasons demonstrate that crowd-implied probabilities in the 35–40% range typically reflect genuine uncertainty rather than consensus, with actual outcomes distributed across a wide range of possibilities depending on team form, injury status, and motivation heading into the final matchday.
Traders should monitor squad news and official team announcements in the weeks preceding the fixture, as late-season injuries or managerial decisions can shift probability significantly. Fixture congestion, European competition schedules, and any mid-season managerial changes at either club will influence how each side approaches the match. The settlement window closes at 15:00 UTC on 24 May, allowing traders approximately four hours after kick-off to adjust positions based on live match developments before final settlement.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.premierleague.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.premierleague.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 24 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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