Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This is a polymarket to predict which club will finish in 2nd place in the 2025–26 English Premier League (soccer).
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Liverpool | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Arsenal | 14% YES | 87% NO |
| Burnley | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Man City | 87% YES | 14% NO |
| Chelsea | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Newcastle | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Man United | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Tottenham | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The 2025–26 English Premier League season will conclude on 27 May 2026, at which point one club will have secured second place in the final standings. The current order book on Polymarket shows 0% implied probability for a YES resolution, indicating that no trader has yet placed meaningful capital on any specific club finishing runners-up. This reflects the market's nascent state rather than certainty that no club will finish second—a logical impossibility—and suggests the book has not yet attracted sufficient liquidity to price individual outcomes.
Historically, second place in the Premier League has been claimed by a narrow range of clubs. Manchester City, Liverpool, and Manchester United have collectively finished second in five of the past eight seasons. Arsenal finished second in 2023–24 with 89 points, whilst Chelsea and Tottenham have periodically challenged for the position. The wide dispersion of potential outcomes—any of the "big six" plus occasional challengers like Brighton or Aston Villa could plausibly finish second—means the probability mass is fragmented across many options rather than concentrated on a single favourite.
Key catalysts for traders will include the January transfer window (closing 2 February 2026), which typically reshapes squad depth and injury recovery timelines. Fixture congestion in February and March, combined with European competition schedules for clubs in the Champions League, will test squad rotation strategies. Injury announcements to key players, managerial changes, and mid-season form shifts will all influence the final standings. The market should see meaningful activity once individual club contracts are priced and liquidity pools around leading contenders.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "English Premier League – 2nd Place" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2.6M in lifetime turnover and $42K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $5K in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for 9 months — long enough that the order book is mature and price is well-anchored to fundamentals.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 27 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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