Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Egypt Egyptian Premier League game, scheduled for Monday, May 18, 2026 between Kahrabaa Ismailia FC and Haras El Hodood SC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Kahrabaa Ismailia FC | 45% YES | 56% NO |
| Draw (Kahrabaa Ismailia FC vs. Haras El Hodood SC) | 38% YES | 62% NO |
| Haras El Hodood SC | 34% YES | 67% NO |
Kahrabaa Ismailia FC will face Haras El Hodood SC in the Egyptian Premier League on Monday, 18 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices a YES outcome at 43%, reflecting market participants' assessment of the home side's chances in what appears to be a fixture between mid-table competitors in Egypt's top division.
Historical context for Egyptian Premier League matches between clubs of comparable standing shows considerable volatility in outcomes. Haras El Hodood, a military-backed institution with consistent institutional support, has demonstrated resilience in away fixtures despite fixture congestion late in seasons. Kahrabaa Ismailia's home record typically benefits from local support at their Ismailia base, though their consistency across campaigns has varied. The 43% probability suggests the market views this as a relatively balanced encounter with slight lean towards the away side or a draw outcome.
Traders should monitor squad availability announcements in the fortnight preceding the fixture, particularly injury status of key players and any late fixture rescheduling by the Egyptian Football Association. Weather conditions in Ismailia during May—typically hot and potentially affecting match tempo—represent a minor variable. Recent form data from both clubs' preceding matches will likely shift the probability materially as settlement approaches. Any managerial changes or disciplinary suspensions affecting either squad should be tracked through official league communications and local Egyptian football media.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.efa.com.eg/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Kahrabaa Ismailia FC vs. Haras El Hodood SC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$20K in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $20K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.efa.com.eg/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 18 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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