Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Denmark Superliga game, scheduled for May 3 at 10:00 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| FC Fredericia (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| FC København (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| FC Fredericia (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| FC København (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
FC Fredericia will travel to face FC København in the Danish Superliga on 3 May 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 10:00 AM ET. This fixture represents a mid-to-late season encounter in Denmark's top division, where København typically operates as one of the league's strongest sides. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book suggests either minimal liquidity in this particular market cluster or that traders have priced in an outcome with near-certainty, though the specific settlement criteria for "More Markets" remain undefined in available documentation.
Historical context for Superliga fixtures shows that home advantage carries measurable weight, particularly when København hosts lower-ranked opponents. Fredericia, as a smaller club, has historically struggled in away fixtures against the capital's established sides. Previous seasons' head-to-head records and current league standings as of early 2026 would clarify whether this probability reflects København's dominance or reflects instead sparse order flow on a secondary market. The absence of any YES bids on the order book may indicate traders are awaiting clearer market definition or additional liquidity before committing capital.
Key variables affecting this market include team injury reports released in the week preceding the fixture, any mid-season managerial changes at either club, and official confirmation of the exact settlement criteria for this "More Markets" cluster. Polymarket's order book depth will likely increase as the match date approaches and as traders gain clarity on what outcomes trigger settlement. Weather conditions and fixture congestion within the Superliga calendar may also influence team selection and performance expectations.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://superligaen.dk/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FC Fredericia vs. FC København - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$11K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://superligaen.dk/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: