Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Czechia Fortuna Liga game, scheduled for May 24 at 8:00 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| AC Sparta Praha (-1.5) | 42% YES | 58% NO |
| FC Hradec Králové (-1.5) | 39% YES | 62% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Both Teams to Score | 51% YES | 49% NO |
| AC Sparta Praha (-2.5) | 25% YES | 75% NO |
| FC Hradec Králové (-2.5) | 27% YES | 73% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 53% YES | 47% NO |
AC Sparta Praha will face FC Hradec Králové in the Czechia Fortuna Liga on 24 May at 08:00 ET. The market is pricing a 42% probability for the "more markets" outcome, reflecting current order-book positioning on Polymarket where traders are actively setting prices across related match derivatives. This settlement window closes at 12:00 UTC on the fixture date.
Sparta Praha finished the 2023–24 season as champions and typically command stronger odds in domestic fixtures, whilst Hradec Králové compete in the middle tier of the league table. Historical matchups between these sides show Sparta winning roughly 60–70% of encounters, though the specific probability here depends on whether this market tracks total match markets available, alternative bet types, or a particular outcome threshold. The 42% current price suggests either meaningful uncertainty about market proliferation or a specific conditional outcome that traders view as moderately likely but not favourable.
Traders should monitor team news and injury updates in the weeks before the fixture, particularly any squad rotation announcements from Sparta ahead of potential European commitments. Fixture congestion in late May often influences squad selection and match intensity. The Fortuna Liga schedule and any mid-week cup fixtures will affect fatigue levels. Recent form data and head-to-head records from the current season will sharpen probability estimates as the settlement date approaches. Order-book depth on Polymarket will reveal whether liquidity concentrates around specific price levels or remains dispersed, signalling consensus confidence.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fortunaliga.cz/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fortunaliga.cz/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 24 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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