Sports

Trade: T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A - Most Sixes

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Sri Lanka A and New Zealand A scheduled for 2026-05-24 in T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Sri Lanka A will be considered correct if Sri Lanka A is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than New Zealand A.The outcome corresponding to New Zealand A will be considered correct if New Zealand A is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Sri Lanka A. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw".

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
$0
Total Volume
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24h Volume
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Open Interest
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Market outcomes

SRI 0% YES100% NO
Draw 100% YES0% NO
NEW 0% YES100% NO

Market context

Sri Lanka A and New Zealand A will contest a women's T20 match on 24 May 2026, with the market determining which side strikes more sixes during the contest. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for Sri Lanka A, indicating traders are pricing New Zealand A as the overwhelming favourite to out-hit their opponents in boundary maximisation. This probability formation suggests confidence in New Zealand's batting aggression relative to their opposition, though the extreme skew warrants examination of the underlying assumptions driving such consensus.

Women's T20 cricket has seen increasing six-hitting rates over recent seasons, with teams like New Zealand consistently ranking amongst the higher-impact batting units in international fixtures. Sri Lanka A's recent performance metrics in T20 formats show variable aggression depending on match conditions and opposition quality. The absence of recent head-to-head data between these specific A-team squads creates interpretive space; A-team fixtures often feature younger or rotated players whose individual aggressive tendencies may diverge from senior team patterns.

Traders should monitor squad announcements closer to the fixture date, as player availability and team composition significantly influence batting approach. Ground conditions at the scheduled venue—pitch behaviour, boundary dimensions, and weather forecasts—will materially affect six-hitting frequency for both sides. Recent form data from domestic T20 competitions in both nations, published through official cricket boards, should inform reassessment of the current probability as the match approaches.

Wikipedia Context

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Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A - Most Sixes" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A - Most Sixes"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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