Trade: T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Mongolia vs Thailand - Toss Match Double
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Mongolia and Thailand scheduled for 2026-06-02 in T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Mongolia will be considered correct if Mongolia is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Thailand will be considered correct if Thailand is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $113
- Total Volume
- —
- 24h Volume
- —
- Open Interest
- —
Market outcomes
| MNG | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Draw | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| THA2 | 47% YES | 54% NO |
Market context
Mongolia and Thailand will contest a women's T20 cricket match on 2 June 2026 in the ACC Premier Cup. This market requires both the coin toss outcome and final match result to align with a single nation—Mongolia winning the toss and the match, or Thailand doing likewise. The settlement hinges on official records from ESPNcricinfo, with the market closing on 9 June 2026. At 50% implied probability on Polymarket's order book, traders are pricing equal likelihood that either team achieves this double outcome.
Women's T20 cricket in South Asia and Southeast Asia has shown toss outcomes distribute near 50-50 across large sample sizes, whilst match results correlate weakly with toss advantage in the shortest format. Thailand's women's team has competed in ACC regional tournaments with variable results, whilst Mongolia's participation in elite women's cricket remains limited. Historical ACC Premier Cup data suggests competitive balance varies significantly by fixture, and toss-dependent outcomes rarely cluster above 55% probability for either side when teams are evenly matched on paper.
Key variables include team composition announcements closer to the fixture date, weather forecasts for the venue on 2 June, and any recent bilateral or tournament form published by the ACC or ESPNcricinfo. Pitch reports and ground conditions typically emerge 24-48 hours before play. Traders should monitor whether either team announces significant injuries or squad changes, as these could shift match-result probabilities and consequently the joint outcome probability reflected in the order book.
Wikipedia Context
-
T20 (classification)T20 is a disability sport classification for disability athletics in track and jump events. It broadly covers athletes with intellectual disabilities.
-
The Accursed KingsThe Accursed Kings is a series of seven historical novels by French author Maurice Druon about the French monarchy in the 14th century. Published between 1955 and 1977, the series has been adapted as a miniseries twice for television in France. A new adaptation for film was announced to be in development in late 2024.
-
T20 Scottish Cup
The T20 Scottish Cup competition is the highest level of Twenty20 club cricket played in Scotland. The national competition, comprisied four regional qualifying competitions - the Rowan Cup, the Masterton Trophy, the Caledonian T20 and the Borders T20 - and a Finals Day is organised by Cricket Scotland.
-
The Accountant (2016 film)The Accountant is a 2016 American action thriller film written by Bill Dubuque, directed by Gavin O'Connor, and starring Ben Affleck, Anna Kendrick, J. K. Simmons, Jon Bernthal, Cynthia Addai-Robinson, Jeffrey Tambor, and John Lithgow. The storyline follows Christian Wolff, an autistic certified public accountant who makes his living sanitizing fraudulent fi
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Mongolia vs Thailand - Toss Match Double" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $113 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Mongolia vs Thailand - Toss Match Double"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Related prediction markets
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: